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Europe Braces for Trump: ‘Worst Economic Nightmare Has Come True’

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Europe Braces for Trump: ‘Worst Economic Nightmare Has Come True’

The United States is the biggest trading partner for the European Union and Britain, whose economies could be at risk from the president-elect’s policies.

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Donald Trump, wearing a dark blue suit, white shirt and red tie, stands at a lectern. Behind him is a line of American flags.
Uncertainty over the incoming Trump administration’s policies from trade to climate change could dampen investment and hinder growth in Europe.Credit…Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times

Patricia Cohen

Patricia Cohen covers the global economy from London.

Nov. 12, 2024
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The outlook for Europe’s economy has been disappointing.

Last week — after Donald J. Trump’s presidential election — it got worse.

Deep uncertainty about the Trump administration’s policies on trade, technology, Ukraine, climate change and more is expected to chill investment and hamstring growth. The launch of a possible tariff war by the United States, the biggest trading partner and closest ally of the European Union and Britain, would hammer major industries like automobiles, pharmaceuticals and machinery.

And the need to raise military spending because of doubts about America’s guarantees in Europe would further strain national budgets and increase deficits.

In addition, the president-elect’s more confrontational attitude toward China could pressure Europe to pick sides or face retribution.

“Europe’s worst economic nightmare has come true,” said Carsten Brzeski, chief economist at the Dutch bank ING. The developments, he warned, could push the eurozone into “a full-blown recession” next year.

With political turmoil in Germany and France, Europe’s two largest economies, this latest blow could hardly come at a worse time.

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Source: https://www.nytimes.com